Just a few years ago, Canada was a country proud of its natural beauty and its UN peacekeepers. Today, it's a highly polluting nation engaged in full-blown warfare. Internationally, Canada's image changes fast.
World media will not mince words when, on Nov. 6 in Nairobi, Kenya, Canadian Environment Minister Rona Ambrose, as president, opens the second Meeting of the Parties to the Kyoto Protocol (COP/MOP 2) and the 12th Conference of the Parties to the Climate Change Convention (COP 12), successor to last year's Montreal conference. Canada is 35 to 40 per cent over its Kyoto targets. Not only are per capita energy use and CO2 emissions arguably the highest in the world, they also increase faster than anywhere else. At home, Environment Commissioner Johanne Gélinas last month released a report condemning both Liberal and Conservative governments for their inaction on greenhouse gases. The Tories have been widely accused of paying lip service to Kyoto and Gélinas' report, and then ignoring both.
The Harper government's Clean Air Act was released last week. It provides
The Clean Air Act and its 2050 CO2 targets could prove to be dangerous. When Harper says climate change is "an evolving science," he's right, but not as he means. What evolves are predictions: They get worse, fast. British PM Tony Blair warned last Friday that without immediate action we'll reach "catastrophic tipping points" within 10 to 15 years. NASA's Jim Hansen says less than 10 years. The year 2050 is far too late. Canada's glaciers and permafrost are melting now.
For Canadians who support Kyoto, are there credible political alternatives? Not the Liberals - they messed up for eight years, and their leadership contenders are eerily silent on the subject. The Green Party and NDP focus on "green" fuels like ethanol, which scientists doubt is very green at all, and which Canada won't produce in sufficient amounts by Kyoto's 2012 deadline. The NDP wants to "invest in Canadian production of green cars," an empty statement that severely hampers their credibility. The Green Party talks the talk, but Leader Elizabeth May, when promoting a carbon tax, stated: "It's not intended to change driving habits."
Driving habits will have to change, and dramatically. As things are going, Canada will be 50 per cent over its commitments soon. Anyone supporting Kyoto must recognize that by 2012, CO2 emissions should decrease by that amount, across the board, from industry, power plants and transportation. To meet Kyoto, one in every three cars will have to go. That's scientific reality. Everyday reality moves in the opposite direction.
Harper said before the Clean Air Act was presented, "Make no mistake about it, we know what our destination is." For once, he's right.
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